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Creators/Authors contains: "Barber, Jarrett J"

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  1. ABSTRACT Climate extremes—e.g., drought, atmospheric rivers, heat waves—are increasing in severity and frequency across the western United States of America (USA). Tree‐ring widths reflect the concurrent and legacy effects of such climate extremes, yet our ability to predict extreme tree growth is often poor. Could tree‐ring data themselves identify the most important climate variables driving extreme low‐ and high‐growth states? How does the importance of these climate drivers differ across species and time? To address these questions, we explored the spatial synchrony of extreme low‐ and high‐growth years, the symmetry of climate effects on the probability of low‐ and high‐growth years, and how climate drivers of extreme growth vary across tree species. We compiled ring widths for seven species (four gymnosperms and three angiosperms) from 604 sites in the western USA and classified each annual ring as representing extreme low, extreme high, or nominal growth. We used classification random forest (RF) models to evaluate the importance of 30 seasonal climate variables for predicting extreme growth, including precipitation, temperature, and vapor pressure deficit (VPD) during and up to four years prior to ring formation. For four species (three gymnosperms, one angiosperm) for which climate was predictive of growth, the RF models correctly classified 89%–98% and 80%–95% of low‐ and high‐growth years, respectively. For these species, asymmetric climate responses dominated. Current‐year winter hydroclimate (precipitation and VPD) was most important for predicting low growth, but prediction of high growth required multiple years of favorable moisture conditions, and the occurrence of low‐growth years was more synchronous across space than high‐growth years. Summer climate and temperature (regardless of season) were only weakly predictive of growth extremes. Our results motivate ecologically relevant definitions of drought such that current winter moisture stress exerts a dominant role in governing growth reductions in multiple tree species broadly distributed across the western USA. 
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    Free, publicly-accessible full text available July 1, 2026
  2. Biological soil crusts (biocrusts) are critical components of dryland and other ecosystems worldwide, and are increasingly recognized as novel model ecosystems from which more general principles of ecology can be elucidated. Biocrusts are often diverse communities, comprised of both eukaryotic and prokaryotic organisms with a range of metabolic lifestyles that enable the fixation of atmospheric carbon and nitrogen. However, how the function of these biocrust communities varies with succession is incompletely characterized, especially in comparison to more familiar terrestrial ecosystem types such as forests. We conducted a greenhouse experiment to investigate how community composition and soil-atmosphere trace gas fluxes of CO2, CH4, and N2O varied from early-successional light cyanobacterial biocrusts to mid-successional dark cyanobacteria biocrusts and late-successional moss-lichen biocrusts and as biocrusts of each successional stage matured. Cover type richness increased as biocrusts developed, and richness was generally highest in the late-successional moss-lichen biocrusts. Microbial community composition varied in relation to successional stage, but microbial diversity did not differ significantly among stages. Net photosynthetic uptake of CO2by each biocrust type also increased as biocrusts developed but tended to be moderately greater (by up to ≈25%) for the mid-successional dark cyanobacteria biocrusts than the light cyanobacterial biocrusts or the moss-lichen biocrusts. Rates of soil C accumulation were highest for the dark cyanobacteria biocrusts and light cyanobacteria biocrusts, and lowest for the moss-lichen biocrusts and bare soil controls. Biocrust CH4and N2O fluxes were not consistently distinguishable from the same fluxes measured from bare soil controls; the measured rates were also substantially lower than have been reported in previous biocrust studies. Our experiment, which uniquely used greenhouse-grown biocrusts to manipulate community composition and accelerate biocrust development, shows how biocrust function varies along a dynamic gradient of biocrust successional stages. 
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